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Even though it was a bit cooler than it was yesterday for most locations, it was another very mild May afternoon. High temperatures reached the lower 80s inland, while sea breezes held the coast in the lower 70s. Even though we have been experiencing this warmth, I should remind you that we have a very chilly body of water just to our east. The water temperature is only in the upper 40s in the Gulf of Maine. The ocean wind brought the temperature all the way down to 59 at Logan Airport!
The next few days, however, will continue the warm trend. Sea breezes may knock the temp down to near 60 tomorrow evening at the immediate coast, but otherwise tomorrow will reach the low to mid 70s in many locations.
Temperatures across the region will continue to climb into the weekend. A disturbance will pass well to our north on Sunday. A few scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible somewhere in the forecast area on Sunday. It does not look like a widespread event, but do keep an "eye to the sky" in the afternoon especially if you have any outdoor activities planned for mom.
Beyond that is where things get tricky...
There is a significant variation in computer models to start next week. To make it easier, I will describe, in detail, the two scenarios that we could possibly experience.
Scenario 1: The warmer solution. The trend of warm weather continue as a big ridge of high pressure is parked over the eastern seaboard. As a front approaches from the west, temperatures into the afternoon will soar well into the 80s. Scattered thunderstorms could develop in the afternoon. Some of these storms could produce heavy rain and gusty winds.
Scenario 2: The water temperature off our coastline is only about 49 degrees. A strong backdoor cold front could invade the region sometime on Monday. Afternoon temps may struggle to reach 60 at the coast, while 80s are possible far inland. By Tuesday, much of the region is cooler. More cloud cover is likely with this scenario, as well as the chance for showers or even a thunderstorm.
I took a middle ground on the 7 day forecast graphic. I believe that both of the above scenarios are possible, so check back for updates as we get closer to the event.
MATT HOENIG - 7:25 PM
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